Toulmin Bombshell

We are fighting to eliminate you.” — Hezbollah

Data: The Islamic Republic of Iran, a tyrannical regime with jihadist suicide bombers, will have a nuclear weapon in the next 12 to 24 months.

Warrant: Since a jihadist suicide bomber who wants to eliminate the United States will almost certainly have a nuclear weapon,

Basis: On account of other Middle East countries — with jihadist suicide bombers who want to eliminate the United States — saying they too will obtain nuclear weapons if Iran develops one.

Qualifier: So, almost certainly,

Claim: A jihadist suicide bomber who wants to eliminate the United States will have a nuclear weapon in the next 12 to 24 months.

References

Stephen E. Toulmin, The Uses of Argument (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2003).

Timothy J. Lynch and Robert S. Singh, After Bush: The Case for Continuity in American Foreign Policy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2008).

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